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Best Bets for UFC 219: Weekly Wagering Deep Dive – Jean Antoine

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Best Bets for UFC 219: Weekly Wagering Deep Dive
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UFC 219 is set to occur this Saturday night (Dec. 30) at Las Vegas, Nevada, and let’s just say that it does not scream »quality » like preceding end-of-year UFC cards.
Usually the UFC piles its final card of this year from top to bottom. In 2017, we now get a major event between Holly Holm and Cris Cyborg. While it has the capability to become a great fight, it doesn’t necessarily scream »buy this pay-per-view! »
Additionally, this is a very hard card to bet on since there are not a lot of fights that you can find a powerful read on. A number of the favorites, such as Cyborg and Khabib Nurmagomedov, deserve to be overpowering favorites, yet could also readily get merked by their competitions. Danger lurks.
That said, we need to make a few plays. So let’s do the best we can to find a few golden underdogs, some worthy props, and a rewarding softball. Also checking out my Best Bets for UFC Futures from last week, where I proposed a couple of’dogs (Carla Esparza and Neil Magny) who still hold some value.
Golden Underdogs
Middleweight: Marvin Vettori (-222) vs. Omari Akhmedov (+187)
At first glance, this moneyline in BetOnline seems perfectly okay, but if you take a better look at this preliminary matchup, you can get some solid reasons to take the dog in Omari »The Wolverine » Akhmedov (17-4).
Although Marvin Vettori (12-3) is a bigger fighter who loves to throw down, averaging 3.13 significant strikes landed per minute, he doesn’t possess enough power to take Akhmedov out via (T)KO, so this fight might wind up being a grappling affair. While Akhmedov has shown in the past that he has some power in his hands (seven wins by knockout and two »Fight of the Night » bonuses in the UFC), in which he excels is in the wrestling department. The Dagestani grappler may easily end up controlling the struggle if the bulk is spent at the clinch or on the mat.
The kryptonite I watch for Akhmedov is his gasoline tank. Can he strike a cardio wall just like he did in successive knockout losses to Sergio Moraes and Elizeu Zaleski? In both of those losses, Akhmedov started strong but faded badly in the later rounds.
He followed up those losses with two hard-working decision wins over Kyle Noke and Abdul Razak Alhassan, the latter an upset at UFC Fight Night 109. Right now I am leaning towards »The Wolverine’s » hard palms and wrestling acumen for a second possibly profitable upset.

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