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UFC 236 takes place Saturday night in Atlanta, and you can watch the five-fight principal card reside on ESPN+. The card is ripe with exciting struggles throughout the night, however, the vast majority of fans will probably be most-interested in the event’s final two fights for its interim middleweight and lightweight names.
We have you covered with comprehensive gambling analysis on the main and co-main occasion…
Max Holloway & Dustin Poirier Rematch for Lightweight Gold
Can Kelvin Gastelum Steal Israel Adesanya’s Spotlight?
… but that does not mean we still can’t find out a thing or 2 on the night’s additional 11 fights!
What follows is a short breakdown on each matchup at UFC 236 in an effort to learn enough about every fighter to produce a more educated bet on these if your heart needs.
Interim Lightweight Title Fight: Max Holloway (-205) vs. Dustin Poirier (+165)
Poirier has been on a war path since returning to lightweight in April, 2015. In general, he’s won eight of the last 10 fights and suffered only one loss (KO into Michael Johnson) and one no contest in his first battle against Eddie Alvarez. Poirier ranks first among busy UFC lightweights in striking differential per second at +2.69.
The two Poirier (7.11 strikes per second ) and Holloway (6.9) ranking among the top-five highest-volume strikers in the total UFC. Holloway’s volume is like an avalanche that becomes more-and-more overwhelming as the fight goes on.
Holloway’s last battle was arguably the finest championship performance in UFC history. Overall, his 290 significant strikes in a struggle broke the UFC championship album.
Holloway opened the week as a -230 favored, but activity has arrived in greatly on Poirier ever since.
Interim Middleweight Title Fight: Kelvin Gastelum (+150) vs. Israel Adesanya (-185)
Gastelum managed to record at least one knockdown against former winners Jacare Souza, Michael Bisping, Chris Weidman and Vitor Belfort during his hellacious run during the middleweight division. His constant barrages of one-two combinations have been difficult for practically all his opponents do cope with throughout his career.
Israel’The Last Stylebender’ Adesanya is a former Glory Kickboxing champion who has rung up a 16-0 record to begin his own mixed martial arts career. He will not need anything to do with Gastelum — a country championship wrestler in high school — about the ground, but we’ve yet to see someone come near out-classing Adesanya on the toes during his five UFC wins.
Adesanya opened the week as a -175 favored, but has since moved up to -185 supporting the public’s support.
Light Heavyweight Fight: Eryk Anders (-200) vs. Khalil Rountree (+160)
Anders played linebacker under Nick Saban in Alabama from 2006-2009 before starting his mixed martial arts profession. All three of Anders’ livelihood losses have come in his last four fights, but these were just two split-decision losses combined with a single TKO loss via referee stoppage throughout his short-notice light heavyweight introduction against Thiago Santos, who will fight Jon Jones to the division’s championship in July.
Rountree recorded the biggest success of his career at UFC 226 against long-time championship kickboxer Gokhan Saki, but was subsequently knocked out by rising contender Johnny Walker past November. Rountree’s career striking differential of -0.99 has made it hard for him to win fights by any way aside from a finish, and he’s consequently lost both of his career UFC fights who have made it beyond the first round.
Welterweight Fight: Alan Jouban (-120) vs. Dwight Grant (-110)
Jouban will probably be giving up a five-inch reach advantage to Grant. This is uncharted territory for Jouban during his 11-fight UFC profession, but he is 3-1 in conflicts with a reach advantage of three or more inches. Meanwhile, the Grant is 1-1 in the UFC with a victory over Carlo Pedersoli Jr. (75-inch reach) and a split-decision reduction to Zak Ottow (72-inch achieve ).
The x-factor within this struggle might wind up being quantity. Jouban finds himself among the top-10 welterweights in UFC history in knockdowns landed (No. 4), significant strike accuracy (No. 7), strikes landed per second (No. 3) and striking differential (No. 4).
Light Heavyweight Fight: Ovince Saint Preux (-110) vs. Nikita Krylov (-120)
Krylov has literally had a fight go to the judges in 30 livelihood MMA fights. This includes 10 battles within the Octagon, which were showcased three wins by TKO/KO and three by submission compared to three losses by entry as well as one by TKO.
This is actually a rematch from UFC 171, when OSP defeated Krylov by first-round submission. The finish featured Saint Preux’s signature submission: The Von Flue choke.
UFC 236 Prelims
Lightweight Fight: Jalin Turner (-140) vs. Matt Frevola (+110)
Turner boasts enormous height (6-foot-3 vs. 5-foot-9) and reach (77 inches vs. 71) benefits over Frevola, although that edge could be mitigated if the latter fighter can instigate his takedown-heavy assault. Turner was last observed starching Callan Potter in only 53 seconds back at UFC 234 in February.
Flyweight Fight: Wilson Reis (+130) vs. Alexandre Pantoja (-160)
Reis is currently the UFC’s No. 4 ranked flyweight ahead of his bout with fifth-ranked Alexandre Pantoja. Although Reis has dropped three of his past four fights, they have come from a high-level competitors like John Moraga, current flyweight champion Henry Cejudo and former winner Demetrious Johnson. Both Reis (12:08) and Pantoja (11:58) have typical fight times that could indicate we’ll see this fight last into the next round.
Welterweight Fight: Max Griffin (-105) vs. Zelim Imadaev (-125)
Imadaev opened the week with -115 chances. Public assistance has come in on the undefeated Russian, who has won eight of his fights by TKO or KO. He’s making his debut within the octagon against Max Griffin, who has lost four of his last six fights dating back to August, 2016. There’s a little bad blood here, as Griffin sparred with Imadaev once upon a time and had this to say about his opponent…
« He’s an ass, man. He’s not a fantastic man… I don’t like the guy… I’m excited about showing him what it’s like. »
Bantamweight Fight: Boston Salmon (-150) vs. Khalid Taha (+120)
Boston’Boom Boom’ Salmon has only lost once in seven career conflicts (by split-decision). Salmon won his final fight against Ricky Turcios on the debut episode of Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series. He’ll maintain a four-inch height advantage of Taha, who has lost two of his last 3 fights. Backing Salmon at his ancient -135 chances was among my favourite bets on the card, but he offers a little bit of value at his current -150 chances.
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UFC 236 Historical Prelims
Welterweight Fight: Curtis Millender (+115) vs. Belal Muhammad (-145)
Millender fought only last month at UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. dos Santos, ultimately losing by submission (rear-naked choke) into Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos. Muhammad has also been busy, as he suffered a unanimous decision loss to Geoff Neal back in January at UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw. Millender boasts three and four inch height and reach advantages, respectively, although Muhammad continues to be a lot more of a takedown hazard during his UFC career.
Bantamweight Fight: Montel Jackson (-550) vs. Andre Soukhamthath (+375)
Jackson opened the week as a -500 favorite, but has since moved even higher. He is the biggest favorite on the card. Soukhamthath is 13-6 as a skilled and is being fed to Jackson, who has dropped only once in eight career bouts.
Women Strawweight Fight: Lauren Mueller (+145) vs. Poliana Botelho (-175)
Both of these women have high striking rates and do not waste their time getting started. This is particularly true for Botelho, who notched the third-fastest finish in the history of this UFC women’s branch back in May, 2018.
Bantamweight Fight: Brandon Davis (-170) vs. Randy Costa (+140)
Costa is undefeated in four professional fights, while Davis is only 9-5. Both fighters are making a debut of sorts, as Costa will probably be within the octagon for the very first time in his career, while Davis has seemingly never fought at 135 lbs.
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